Tuesday 8 December 2009


If you allow me a prediction: The Copenhagen Climate Change Summit will end with no result.

The world leaders will call it a success because they will have a roadmap for future discussions. The pro-do-something groups will complain that nothing concrete has been decided. The anti-do-something groups will complain about the fact that there is a roadmap.

Nothing will change, discussions will continue.

(This is the only article I will write on the topic before the end of the summit. For the rest, my opinion on climate change has been voiced earlier, so no need to repeat.)


André said...


I agree with you that there will probably not be a fully-fledged agreement, let alone a binding treaty for the future.

Still, I think that the messages that will emanate from the conference and that have been communicated in the run-up can change something. Climate change is not about politicians but rather about a change in behavior of the common people. If tomorrow, ten thousand Americans are inspired to buy a new hybrid car and talk about it to their friends, a signature more or less under a treaty may not be that important.